MSP-1 / Research

Original Analysis & Technical Memos

First-party engineering notes from the MSP-1 project. These are quantitative, assumption-driven analyses designed to make inference economics legible — without requiring citations to external work.

Scope: Inference economics Format: Short technical memos Status: Draft series

Research papers

Each memo is designed to stand alone: clear assumptions, simple models, practical implications, and explicit limitations.

Notes on methodology

Assumptions-first

Every memo states assumptions explicitly. If an assumption changes, the model updates cleanly — and the conclusion may change.

Conservative claims

These notes aim to be useful under scrutiny: no “magic multipliers,” no hidden variables, and clear limits on what the model can prove.

Built for iteration

Each memo is structured so future empirical measurements (your control/treatment work, or third-party benchmarks) can be dropped in later.